000 02778cam a22004097a 4500
001 w30720
003 NBER
005 20221223084036.0
006 m o d
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 221223s2022 mau fo 000 0 eng d
040 _aMaCbNBER
_beng
_cMaCbNBER
100 1 _aChoi, Jason.
245 1 4 _aThe Macroeconomic Implications of US Market Power in Safe Assets /
_cJason Choi, Rishabh Kirpalani, Diego J. Perez.
260 _aCambridge, Mass.
_bNational Bureau of Economic Research
_c2022.
300 _a1 online resource:
_billustrations (black and white);
490 1 _aNBER working paper series
_vno. w30720
500 _aDecember 2022.
520 3 _aThe US government is the dominant supplier of global safe assets and faces a downward-sloping demand for its debt. In this paper, we ask if the US exercises its market power when issuing debt and study its macroeconomic consequences. We develop a model of the global economy in which US public debt generates a non-pecuniary value for its holders, analyze the equilibrium in which the US government is the monopoly provider of this safe asset, and contrast this case with the one in which the US government acts as a price taker. We use variation in estimated demand elasticities for US debt during high- and low-volatility regimes to empirically distinguish between these two models and find that the data reject the price-taking behavior in favor of the monopoly one. We then quantify the distortions due to market power and find that it generates a significant underprovision of safe assets, a sizable markup in the convenience yield, and large welfare benefits for the US to the detriment of the rest of the world. Finally, we study the implications of increasing competition in safe assets from other sovereigns and private institutions.
530 _aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
538 _aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files.
538 _aMode of access: World Wide Web.
588 0 _aPrint version record
690 7 _aMacroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
_2jelc
650 7 _aMacroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
_2jelc
084 _aE6
_2jelc
690 7 _aInternational Finance
_2jelc
650 7 _aInternational Finance
_2jelc
084 _aF3
_2jelc
700 1 _aKirpalani, Rishabh.
700 1 _aPerez, Diego J.
710 2 _aNational Bureau of Economic Research.
830 0 _aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)
_vno. w30720.
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w30720
856 _yAcceso en lĂ­nea al DOI
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w30720
942 _2ddc
_cW-PAPER
999 _c390449
_d349011